TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Toy Story 5 will achieve a critical score of at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—that the film scores 80 or higher—stands at 96.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Rotten Tomatoes All Critics Tomatometer score checked at 10:00 AM ET on June 22, 2026, the film's release date, with the final resolution source being Rotten Tomatoes' published score for the movie.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Toy Story 5 (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on June 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations and differ from traditional analyst forecasts or critical consensus estimates. While film critics and review aggregators may publish early predictions based on screening reactions and franchise history, prediction markets incorporate dynamic information and financial incentives. Comparing Polymarket odds to published analyst sentiment or historical Rotten Tomatoes scores for prior Toy Story films can reveal whether traders are pricing in higher or lower critical reception than expert predictions suggest.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the "Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score event is structured as a binary outcome contract on whether the film will score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer. Traders buy and sell shares representing "Yes" or "No" positions, with the current implied probability reflecting the consensus expectation. The price discovery mechanism allows participants to trade based on their own forecasts of critical reception, film quality, and how the movie will be reviewed relative to recent Pixar releases.
Several catalysts could shift trader expectations for "Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes performance. Early critical screenings and advance reviews will provide direct signals about film quality and critical reception. Trailer reactions, director or cast statements, and comparisons to prior Toy Story sequels influence sentiment. Box office performance and audience scores on IMDb or other platforms may also sway traders' views on critical reception. Industry awards buzz and critic roundtables closer to release could accelerate price movement as the resolution date approaches.