TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Top Text to Video AI this week
kalshi

Which AI will be top text-to-video by 2026-11-06?

Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$64
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:13h:29m

Top Text to Video AI this week?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

Trade
95%
Yes 94¢No 94¢
88¢
N/A
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

Google

Trade
95%
Yes 94¢No 94¢
88¢
N/A
$36
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

ByteDance

Trade
95%
Yes 94¢No 94¢
88¢
N/A
$18
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

MiniMax

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

KlingAI

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

Skywork AI

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

Vidu

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

SpaceXAI

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

Lightricks

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
kalshi

PixVerse

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 13h 29m
Active
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence system achieves the highest ranking in text-to-video generation capabilities by a specific date. It reflects the competitive landscape of AI development, where companies strive to create the most advanced technology for converting textual descriptions into high-quality video content. The outcome will indicate which organization's model is deemed superior according to an independent evaluation standard.

Kalshi

The event determines the leading text-to-video AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) at 10:00am ET on November 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific AI developer, and the market resolves to Yes if that developer's model holds the #1 position on the leaderboard at the specified time. If multiple models tie for the top rank, the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology applies; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank. In such tied scenarios, contracts for all tied entities resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The event operates independently of any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Text to Video AI market tracks the current odds of various AI models being identified as the top performer this week. You’ll find a price history showing how those odds have shifted over time, and the 24-hour volume, which currently stands at $0. The total volume traded in this market is $64. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment and activity surrounding the leading text-to-video AI technologies. Traders use this information to assess probabilities and make informed decisions.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially identifying emerging trends or underappreciated factors that individual analysts might miss. While analysts provide reasoned assessments, the market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies between the two can signal areas of uncertainty or disagreement regarding the likely leader in the Text to Video AI space, and can be a valuable signal for those following this technology.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the leading Text to Video AI model for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on widely accepted metrics and assessments of performance, such as quality, speed, and creative capabilities. The specific methodology for determining the top performer will be based on industry standards and expert evaluations. Traders will then be able to see which outcome was predicted correctly and receive payouts accordingly.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. A major breakthrough in the capabilities of a specific AI model, such as significantly improved video quality or faster generation times, would likely shift the odds. Announcements of new partnerships or integrations involving these technologies could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, influential reviews or comparisons from industry experts and prominent tech publications could sway market sentiment. Unexpected limitations or bugs discovered in a leading model could also cause traders to reassess their positions.