TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Top Text to Video AI this week
kalshi

Top Text to Video AI this week

Volume:
$6,203

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 10:00 AM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,025
N/A
N/A
$1,980
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Google

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,758
N/A
N/A
$1,083
Settled
No
kalshi

ByteDance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$805
N/A
N/A
$582
Settled
No
kalshi

Lightricks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$387
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
No
kalshi

KlingAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Skywork AI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Vidu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceXAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

PixVerse

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence system achieves the highest ranking in text-to-video generation capabilities by a specific date. It reflects the competitive landscape of AI development, where companies strive to create the most advanced technology for converting textual descriptions into high-quality video content. The outcome will depend on the performance metrics set by an independent evaluation platform.

Kalshi

The event determines the leading text-to-video AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) at 10:00am ET on August 21, 2026. If any listed participant—Google, MiniMax, ByteDance, Alibaba, KlingAI, Skywork AI, Vidu, SpaceXAI, Lightricks, or PixVerse—holds the #1 position, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. In cases where multiple entities tie for the top rank, the publisher's official tie-breaking rules apply; if none exist, all tied parties share the highest rank. Contracts for tied entities resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest standings in the Text to Video AI leaderboard, showing real-time odds, price movements, and $724 24-hour volume. It highlights which AI solution is currently favored to lead the field this week, offering a snapshot of trader sentiment and market dynamics around this emerging technology.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While some experts highlight specific technical benchmarks, traders on Kalshi are pricing in a wider range of possibilities. This divergence can offer early signals about shifting perceptions in the Text to Video AI space, especially as new releases or performance data emerge.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the AI declared top on the Text to Video AI leaderboard by an authoritative, widely recognized source at that time.