TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which artificial intelligence model achieves the highest ranking in a specific speech synthesis competition by a set date. The competition evaluates various AI systems based on their performance in generating natural and intelligible speech.
The event determines the leading text-to-speech AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Speech Arena Leaderboard at 10:00am ET on September 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific AI developer, and resolution depends on whether that developer’s model secures the #1 position. If multiple models tie for the top rank, the publisher’s official tie-breaking rules apply; in the absence of such rules, all tied entities share the highest rank. Contracts for tied entities resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The platform disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about which text-to-speech AI will lead this week, adjusted for liquidity and open interest. Volume of $13,639 shows overall market engagement, while recent 24-hour volume of $680 highlights active trading periods. Traders can buy or sell contracts representing different outcomes, influencing the market price through their activity.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will be based on widely recognized rankings or announcements from respected industry publications, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the leader.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Sep 4, 2026. Major product releases, significant funding announcements, or wide-reaching partnerships from leading AI firms may boost their chances. Analyst reports or industry benchmarks highlighting performance metrics could also sway trader sentiment. Competitor setbacks or regulatory changes impacting key players might reduce their odds. Real-time user adoption statistics and media coverage will continue to influence market dynamics as the week progresses.