TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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All
Science and Technology
Top Text to Speech AI this week
kalshi

Top Text to Speech AI this week

Volume:
$7,460

Cartesia

 - Kalshi

Cartesia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cartesia

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,739
N/A
N/A
$2,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alibaba

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,004
N/A
N/A
$991
Settled
No
kalshi

SpeechifyAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$896
N/A
N/A
$645
Settled
No
kalshi

VUI Labs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

StepFun

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Inworld

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Smallest.ai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

ElevenLabs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Fish Audio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Amazon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Async

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence model achieves the highest ranking in a specific speech synthesis competition by a set date. The competition evaluates various AI systems based on their performance in generating natural and accurate speech from text inputs. Participants include leading technology firms and specialized AI research organizations.

Kalshi

The event determines the leading text-to-speech AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Speech Arena Leaderboard at precisely 10:00am ET on August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific AI developer, resolving to 'Yes' if that developer holds the #1 position. In cases where multiple models tie for the top rank, the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology applies; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank. Contracts for tied entities resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The platform disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may weigh long-term capabilities and reports, traders on Kalshi price in recent performance trends, product releases, and user feedback. This can lead to divergence, especially when rapid changes occur in the AI space. Monitoring both sources provides a fuller picture of market sentiment versus expert opinion.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by aggregating recognized industry benchmarks, user adoption statistics, and expert evaluations released by authoritative technology analysis firms before the deadline. No single source exclusively decides the settlement; instead, the consensus from leading reports will confirm the leader.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution: major product announcements, significant user growth metrics, independent review scores, or widely covered media features highlighting specific AI solutions. Any surprise partnerships or awards in the Text-to-Speech space may also cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will watch for sudden volume spikes or large order blocks, as these often precede notable news or shifts in sentiment among participants on Kalshi.