TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which artificial intelligence model achieves the highest ranking in a specific speech synthesis competition by a set date. The competition evaluates various AI systems based on their performance in generating natural and accurate speech from text inputs. Participants include leading technology firms and specialized AI research organizations.
The event determines the leading text-to-speech AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Speech Arena Leaderboard at precisely 10:00am ET on August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific AI developer, resolving to 'Yes' if that developer holds the #1 position. In cases where multiple models tie for the top rank, the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology applies; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank. Contracts for tied entities resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The platform disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by aggregating recognized industry benchmarks, user adoption statistics, and expert evaluations released by authoritative technology analysis firms before the deadline. No single source exclusively decides the settlement; instead, the consensus from leading reports will confirm the leader.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution: major product announcements, significant user growth metrics, independent review scores, or widely covered media features highlighting specific AI solutions. Any surprise partnerships or awards in the Text-to-Speech space may also cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will watch for sudden volume spikes or large order blocks, as these often precede notable news or shifts in sentiment among participants on Kalshi.