TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
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All
Science and Technology
Top Text to Speech AI this week
kalshi

Which AI will be top text to speech?

Volume:
$1,676

ElevenLabs

 - Kalshi

ElevenLabs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ElevenLabs

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$725
N/A
N/A
$528
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Amazon

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Cartesia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Smallest.ai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Fish Audio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Inworld

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Async

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

SpeechifyAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

VUI Labs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

StepFun

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence model achieves the highest ranking in a specific speech synthesis competition by a set date. The competition evaluates various AI systems based on their performance in generating natural and intelligible speech.

Kalshi

The event determines the leading text-to-speech AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Speech Arena Leaderboard at 10:00am ET on October 30, 2026. If a single entity holds the #1 position, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. In cases where multiple models tie for the top rank, the publisher’s official tie-breaking rules apply; if none exist, all tied entities share the highest rank. Contracts for tied entities resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The platform disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Text to Speech AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities of different outcomes are changing in real-time, providing insight into where traders are placing their bets. The current volume is $493, and the total volume traded to date is $1,676. This allows you to monitor market activity and understand the collective prediction of participants regarding the leading text to speech AI technologies.

Comparing the odds in this market to external analyst forecasts reveals how the wisdom of the crowd stacks up against expert opinion. Often, prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than traditional forecasts, potentially identifying emerging trends or overlooked factors. While analysts may offer qualitative assessments, this market provides a quantifiable, real-time view of expectations. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of disagreement or uncertainty surrounding the future of text to speech AI development.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market continuously adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the leading text to speech AI technologies.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the leading text to speech AI technology is verified against credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which AI model is most widely recognized as the top performer during the specified timeframe, as determined by industry benchmarks and expert consensus. The market will then settle based on which outcome corresponds to the verified leader. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from leading AI companies regarding new text-to-speech models or significant performance improvements would likely cause shifts in the odds. Positive or negative reviews from prominent tech publications and industry analysts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected breakthroughs in AI research, or conversely, reports of limitations or biases in existing models, could also move the market. Any news affecting the perceived quality, capabilities, or adoption rate of these technologies could impact trading activity.