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Top Text to Speech AI this week
kalshi

Which AI will rank top in speech synthesis?

Volume:
$1,626

ElevenLabs

 - Kalshi

ElevenLabs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ElevenLabs

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
$364
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alibaba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
kalshi

Fish Audio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

SpeechifyAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

Cartesia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

StepFun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

OpenAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

VUI Labs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Inworld

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Smallest.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Mistral

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceXAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Nvidia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Amazon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
kalshi

Async

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence model achieves the highest ranking in a specific speech synthesis competition by a set date. The competition evaluates various AI systems based on their performance in generating natural and intelligible speech. Participants include major tech companies and specialized AI research teams, each vying for top recognition in this fast-evolving field.

Kalshi

The event determines the leading text-to-speech AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Speech Arena Leaderboard at precisely 10:00am ET on October 16, 2026. A model secures the top position if it alone holds the #1 rank. Should multiple models tie for the highest position, the official tie-breaking rules of the Governing League apply; absent such rules, all tied models equally share the top rank. Contracts for tied models pay out equally, calculated as $1 divided by the number of tied entities, rounded down to the nearest cent. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all brand names mentioned remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Text to Speech AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay for a 'yes' vote that a specific AI will be considered top this week. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $311. The total volume traded on this market is $1,626. This provides a real-time view of how the crowd is assessing the leading contenders in the field of text-to-speech technology.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the Text to Speech AI market. While analysts often provide subjective rankings and qualitative assessments, this market represents the collective judgment of individuals putting their capital at risk. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the crowd believes analysts are over or underestimating a particular AI's potential. It’s a valuable way to gauge market sentiment and identify potential blind spots in conventional analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at any time, setting their own prices. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, an AI being considered the top text-to-speech model this week. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, giving traders insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving perceptions of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination of which text-to-speech AI is considered 'top' will be based on widely recognized industry benchmarks and expert evaluations published during the relevant timeframe. The resolution will reflect the consensus view of leading authorities in the field, ensuring a fair and objective assessment of the AI's performance and capabilities.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 16, 2026. Major announcements regarding new AI model releases, significant performance improvements in existing models, or influential analyst reports could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected breakthroughs in speech synthesis technology or changes in industry adoption rates would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, any news concerning the leading AI companies involved, such as partnerships or funding rounds, could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in the market.