TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Top Open Source AI this week
kalshi

Which AI will rank highest this week?

Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

Kimi

 - Kalshi

Kimi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:14h:44m

Top Open Source AI this week?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% APY not meaningful 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kimi

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

GLM

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

DeepSeek

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

MiniMax

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

Xiaomi

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

Thinking Machines

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

Nvidia

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

Mistral

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

Google

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

OpenAI

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

Cohere

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

Alibaba

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
kalshi

Meta

Trade
N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 44m
Active
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks the competitive landscape of open-source AI models, focusing on which technology achieves the highest ranking on a specialized index by a specific date. It reflects the rapid evolution and evaluation of artificial intelligence systems within the open-source community.

Kalshi

The event determines the highest-ranked open-source AI model as listed on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on November 6, 2026, at 10:00 am ET. Each market corresponds to a specific AI model, and if that model holds the highest rank, the respective market resolves positively. In cases where multiple models share the highest rank, the publisher's official tie-breaking rules apply; if none exist, all tied models equally share the top position. Contracts for tied models pay out $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The index serves as the authoritative source for ranking, and Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the governing body or trademark holders involved.