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400,720

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Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd
kalshi

Top Chinese AI Company week of August 3rd

Volume:
$26,087

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,374
N/A
N/A
$3,368
Settled
Yes
kalshi

DeepSeek

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,957
N/A
N/A
$2,676
Settled
No
kalshi

Baidu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,632
N/A
N/A
$3,083
Settled
No
kalshi

Moonshot

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,482
N/A
N/A
$1,947
Settled
No
kalshi

ByteDance

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,223
N/A
N/A
$2,970
Settled
No
kalshi

Z.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,624
N/A
N/A
$2,496
Settled
No
kalshi

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
$455
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
No
kalshi

Xiaomi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
$375
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the competitive standing of major Chinese AI firms based on a standardized evaluation of their language models. The outcome depends on which company's AI system achieves the top position in a specific benchmark test on a set date. Companies must meet eligibility criteria related to their headquarters location to qualify.

Kalshi

The event determines whether any of the listed Chinese AI companies—Moonshot, Alibaba, Baidu, DeepSeek, ByteDance, Xiaomi, MiniMax, Z.ai, or Tencent—achieves the highest ranking on the Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) benchmark on August 10, 2026, at 10:00am ET. Each market corresponds to one company, resolving to Yes if that specific company holds the top position. Only companies with global or primary operational headquarters in mainland China qualify. If multiple companies share the highest rank and no official tie-breaker exists, all tied entities share the top rank. In such cases, contracts for all tied companies resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The platform bears no official affiliation with the governing body or entities involved, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard displays the current odds and price history for the top Chinese AI company prediction, along with 24-hour volume of $5,012. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around who will lead in China’s AI sector over the specified period. The chart updates in real time, reflecting market sentiment and any new developments influencing expectations for the top contender.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the company most widely recognized as the top Chinese AI leader at that time, based on generally accepted industry metrics and media consensus.

Key signals include major product releases, regulatory announcements, leadership changes, or significant investment rounds from competing firms. Earnings reports, partnerships, or AI benchmark competition results could also shift trader sentiment. Any event that reshapes perceptions of which company is leading the Chinese AI space may cause rapid price movements in this market.