TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Top AI model this week
kalshi

Top AI model this week

Volume:
$174,327

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

 - Kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 18, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105,891
N/A
N/A
$45,978
Settled
Yes
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,605
N/A
N/A
$22,605
Settled
No
kalshi

dola-seed-2.0-preview

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,613
N/A
N/A
$13,613
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-pro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,249
N/A
N/A
$12,249
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,983
N/A
N/A
$10,983
Settled
No
kalshi

muse-spark

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,600
N/A
N/A
$3,600
Settled
No
kalshi

grok-4.20-beta1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,734
N/A
N/A
$2,734
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-flash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,412
N/A
N/A
$1,412
Settled
No
kalshi

gpt-5.4-high

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,051
N/A
N/A
$1,051
Settled
No
kalshi

qwen3.5-max-preview

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

kimi-k2.5-thinking

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event determines which advanced AI model will achieve the top ranking on a standardized AI benchmarking leaderboard as of April 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The market resolves positively if any of several leading AI models from major AI development organizations—including those from Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, Alibaba, Qwen, Moonshot AI, and MuseAI—holds the top position at that specific moment in time.