TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Top AI model this week?
kalshi

Top AI model this week?

Volume:
$17,706

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

 - Kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,494
N/A
N/A
$5,814
Settled
Yes
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,537
N/A
N/A
$7,522
Settled
No
kalshi

dola-seed-2.0-preview

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,237
N/A
N/A
$1,237
Settled
No
kalshi

grok-4.20-beta1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,135
N/A
N/A
$1,135
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
$303
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-pro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-flash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

qwen3.5-max-preview

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

kimi-k2.5-thinking

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

gpt-5.4-high

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

On April 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, an AI model from a group of leading developers will hold the top ranking position on a major AI model leaderboard. This event captures which cutting-edge AI system achieves the highest performance benchmark at that specific moment in time.