TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Top AI model this week?
kalshi

Top AI model this week?

Volume:
$403,942

claude-opus-4-6

 - Kalshi

claude-opus-4-6 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 14, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,694
N/A
N/A
$44,137
Settled
Yes
kalshi

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224,646
N/A
N/A
$220,598
Settled
No
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91,835
N/A
N/A
$84,291
Settled
No
kalshi

gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,771
N/A
N/A
$14,771
Settled
No
kalshi

kimi-k2.5-thinking

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,689
N/A
N/A
$7,689
Settled
No
kalshi

dola-seed-2.0-preview

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,692
N/A
N/A
$5,692
Settled
No
kalshi

grok-4.20-beta1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,074
N/A
N/A
$5,074
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-pro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,883
N/A
N/A
$1,883
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-flash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,033
N/A
N/A
$1,033
Settled
No
kalshi

ernie-5.0-0110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$625
N/A
N/A
$625
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks which AI model will be ranked at the top of a major AI leaderboard on March 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The market resolves affirmatively if any of a selection of leading AI models from major AI development companies achieves the top ranking on that date.