TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

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$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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61%

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TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
polymarket

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Volume:
$25,685

Justin Pearson

 - Polymarket

Justin Pearson - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 3:52 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Justin Pearson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$11,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Steve Cohen

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person A

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,098
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeVante Hill

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person P

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person T

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person W

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person Q

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person R

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person S

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination to represent Tennessee's 9th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections. On Polymarket, Justin Pearson holds 80.0% probability of winning the nomination, while DeVante Hill stands at 14.6%. Resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party sources, including democrats.org, with any nominee announced by November 3, 2026 serving as the settlement basis. Watch the August 6, 2026 Democratic primary election for the outcome that will resolve this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

The TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and price movements for all Democratic candidates competing in Tennessee's 9th congressional district primary. The dashboard displays current implied probabilities for each candidate, historical price charts, and $874 in trading volume over the past 24 hours. You can monitor how market sentiment shifts as new campaign developments, endorsements, and polling data emerge. The interface shows the top outcome and its current odds, allowing traders and observers to gauge which candidates the market favors heading into the primary election.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling averages because markets incorporate real-money incentives and forward-looking trader expectations. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate information from participants betting on actual outcomes. For the TN-09 Democratic primary, market odds may reflect factors polls miss—such as fundraising momentum, ground organization, or late-breaking endorsements. Comparing Polymarket odds to recent public polls helps identify where the market is pricing in information that surveys have not yet captured, offering insight into which candidates traders believe have genuine paths to victory.

The TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner market resolves on Aug 6, 2026, following the official Tennessee Democratic primary election. Resolution is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the Democratic primary for Tennessee's 9th congressional district. Once official results are certified by Tennessee election authorities, the market settles to reflect the winner. Traders holding contracts on the winning candidate receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution date aligns with the state primary calendar, giving traders a clear endpoint for their positions.

Several catalysts could shift odds for the TN-09 Democratic primary. Major endorsements from state party leaders, national figures, or labor unions often trigger significant price moves. Campaign spending announcements and fundraising reports signal candidate viability and resources. Debate performances, media coverage, and viral moments can reshape voter perception overnight. Local polling releases provide direct evidence of candidate strength. Candidate withdrawals or entries alter the competitive landscape. Turnout expectations and demographic shifts in the district also influence market pricing. Any scandal or controversy involving a frontrunner could create sudden volatility. Traders monitor all these signals continuously, adjusting positions as new information emerges.