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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Aug 30, 2026
kalshi

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Aug 30, 2026

Volume:
$34,087

Above 88,000 MW

 - Kalshi

Above 88,000 MW - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 12:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 88,000 MW

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,094
N/A
N/A
$4,071
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 82,000 MW

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,300
N/A
N/A
$1,108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 86,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,335
N/A
N/A
$2,335
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 85,000 MW

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,325
N/A
N/A
$2,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 87,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,355
N/A
N/A
$1,355
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 83,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 84,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 89,000 MW

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,395
N/A
N/A
$8,332
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90,000 MW

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,007
N/A
N/A
$4,007
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 92,000 MW

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,025
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 91,000 MW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 93,000 MW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks the peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid for a specific day in 2026. It measures whether the highest recorded hourly electricity consumption exceeds various threshold levels, reflecting potential stress on the power supply infrastructure during that period.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on August 30, 2026, exceeds specified threshold values ranging from 82,000 MW to 93,000 MW. Resolution depends on the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for that operating day. The Expiration Value is derived from the highest value in the TOTAL column of this report, representing ERCOT system load for full hourly intervals. Instantaneous load readings are excluded, and values are compared as published without rounding. Any subsequent revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications of the data will not alter the Expiration Value, ensuring consistency in outcome determination.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Texas ERCOT peak demand market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume of $34,087 for the Texas ERCOT peak demand market. This single-venue view shows how traders price expectations for electricity use on a key date, with charts reflecting market sentiment and liquidity shifts.

On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the Texas ERCOT peak demand market through continuous bidding and asking. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome reflects the collective wisdom of participants, expressed as a probability percentage. Volume of $34,087 shows trader interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $34,087 indicates short-term activity levels. Price movements respond to weather forecasts, grid operator updates, and energy demand trends.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final peak electricity demand figure for the specified day will be compared against market contracts to determine winners and losers. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded high for that period.

Key signals include weather forecasts showing extreme heat or cold across Texas, which can sharply raise or lower power use. Announcements from ERCOT about grid conditions or supply disruptions also impact expectations. Economic activity surges, like major events or holidays, may push demand higher, while technical improvements or conservation efforts could suppress the peak. Any unexpected changes in these factors may cause rapid shifts in this market's odds.