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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Aug 28, 2026
kalshi

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Aug 28, 2026

Volume:
$17,818

Above 85,000 MW

 - Kalshi

Above 85,000 MW - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 12:54 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 85,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,700
N/A
N/A
$1,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 86,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,147
N/A
N/A
$1,147
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 81,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 82,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 83,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 84,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 87,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 88,000 MW

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 90,000 MW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,051
N/A
N/A
$4,714
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 91,000 MW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,959
N/A
N/A
$2,547
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 89,000 MW

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
$334
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid for a specific day in 2026. It measures whether the highest recorded hourly electricity consumption surpasses various threshold levels, reflecting potential stress on the power supply infrastructure during that period.

Kalshi

The event determines if the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on August 28, 2026 exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 81,000 MW to 91,000 MW. Settlement relies on the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for that operating day. The Expiration Value is derived from the highest value in the TOTAL column of this report, representing full-hour system load measurements. Instantaneous load readings are excluded, and values are compared as published without rounding. Any subsequent revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications of the data will not alter the Expiration Value, ensuring consistency in outcome determination.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Texas ERCOT peak demand market tracks the current odds and price history for whether ERCOT will record a peak hourly load above certain thresholds on August 28, 2026. It also displays 24-hour volume of $17,788 and total volume of $17,818, letting traders monitor market activity and sentiment in real time.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The settlement will depend on the officially reported peak hourly system load for ERCOT on August 28, 2026, compared against the market’s defined threshold.

Key signals include weather forecasts showing extreme heat across Texas, updates on grid maintenance schedules, changes in industrial or residential energy consumption patterns, and broader fuel price shifts affecting generation mix. Any unexpected spikes in demand or supply disruptions could quickly shift trader sentiment and move this market toward resolution.