TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Tesla's stock price will close higher or lower on May 28, 2026 compared to the previous trading day's close. On Polymarket, the probability that TSLA closes up on that date stands at 53.0%. Resolution will be determined by Pyth Network's equity price feed for TSLA/USD. Traders should monitor Tesla's earnings announcements, product launches, and broader market conditions leading up to May 28, 2026, as these factors typically drive single-day directional moves.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by Tesla's stock price movement on May 28. The event measures whether TSLA closes higher or lower relative to its opening price on that specific trading day. Resolution occurs after market close and official price data is confirmed. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The binary structure ensures a clear, verifiable outcome tied to publicly available market data.
Several catalysts could influence Tesla's price on May 28. Earnings announcements, production reports, or guidance revisions from Tesla management would likely trigger significant moves. Broader market events—Federal Reserve decisions, macroeconomic data, or sector-wide automotive news—can shift sentiment. Elon Musk statements or company announcements may create volatility. Options expiration activity and technical levels could amplify intraday swings. Geopolitical developments, regulatory changes, or competitor news may also impact investor appetite for Tesla stock. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions ahead of the resolution date.