TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 25?
polymarket

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 25?

Volume:
$2,625

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 25?

 - Polymarket

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 25? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 25?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 25, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 25, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 25, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on June 25, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Tesla stock direction market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether TSLA will close up or down on June 25. The interface displays current implied probabilities, historical price movements, and recent trading volume. You can monitor how market participants are positioning themselves as new information emerges. The dashboard aggregates all trades on this venue, showing you the collective forecast from active traders. Current volume of $2,625 reflects the cumulative interest in this outcome, with $2,625 traded in the last 24 hours.

Prediction markets and traditional analyst forecasts operate on different timelines and information sets. Analysts typically issue ratings and price targets based on fundamental research and longer-term outlooks, while this market reflects real-time trader sentiment on a specific date outcome. Prediction markets often incorporate breaking news and intraday momentum faster than formal analyst updates. However, both sources can diverge significantly depending on recent earnings reports, macroeconomic data, or sector-wide movements. Comparing the two provides a fuller picture: analysts offer structural reasoning, while market odds reveal what traders believe will actually happen by the resolution date.

This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the trading day concludes and TSLA's closing price is finalized. The outcome is determined by whether the stock closes above or below its opening price on that date. Verification occurs through credible public financial data sources that confirm the official closing price. No further trading is possible after the resolution window closes. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout based on the final odds at which they held their shares.

Several catalysts could shift trader positioning before resolution. Earnings announcements, product launches, or major company news typically trigger sharp repricing. Broader market movements—such as Fed policy shifts, interest rate changes, or sector rotation—often drag individual stocks with them. Macroeconomic data releases, geopolitical developments, and competitor announcements can also influence sentiment. Intraday technical levels and options expiration activity may create momentum in either direction. Social media trends and retail trader activity occasionally amplify moves. Real-time monitoring of financial news and market breadth helps traders anticipate which way this market may swing.