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Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Sep 14 at ___?
polymarket

How will TSLA close the week of Sep 14?

Volume:
$17,506

$360-$365

 - Polymarket

$360-$365 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 4:38 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$360-$365

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$365-$370

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355-$360

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$370-$375

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$350-$355

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$340

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$385

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$340-$345

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$345-$350

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$375-$380

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$380-$385

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Tesla closing price market tracks the current implied probability of different price ranges for TSLA at the close of trading on the week of September 14th. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $14,422. Total volume for this market is $14,506. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Tesla’s stock performance.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where Tesla’s stock will close on the week of September 14th. These odds often differ from traditional analyst forecasts, as they represent a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective incorporating a wider range of information and viewpoints. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market expectations and potential areas of disagreement regarding Tesla’s future performance.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of expectations for Tesla’s closing price.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on the final trading day of the week of September 14th will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official closing price reported by a major financial exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major news regarding Tesla’s production numbers, delivery figures, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Announcements related to new product launches, regulatory changes, or significant partnerships could also move the market. Broader economic indicators, such as interest rate decisions or overall market sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected events, like supply chain disruptions or major competitor announcements, are additional catalysts to watch as they all contribute to the evolving expectations reflected in this market.