TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 8 at ___?
polymarket
limitless

Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 8 at ___?

Volume:
$6,933

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Weekly

 - Limitless

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Weekly - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Weekly

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99.8¢
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$405-$410

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$395-$400

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$400-$405

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$395

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$440

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$410-$415

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$435-$440

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$415-$420

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$420-$425

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$425-$430

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$430-$435

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group tracks Tesla (TSLA) stock price movement during the week of June 8-12, 2026, with markets covering both absolute price brackets (Polymarket) and directional weekly change (Limitless). The core question is: where will TSLA close on Friday, June 12, 2026, and will it be higher than the previous Friday's close?

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two independent price feeds (Yahoo Finance vs. Pyth TSLA/USD) are used across platforms. While both reference June 12, 2026 close, feed timing, data latency, and fallback logic differ, creating risk of conflicting settlement outcomes on the same underlying event.Hero tip: Polymarket bracket resolution depends on Yahoo Finance close; Limitless directional resolution depends on Pyth feed. Cross-check both sources on settlement day. If Pyth unavailable, Limitless falls back to official exchange price (likely Yahoo-aligned), but timing of that fallback decision is platform-dependent. Bracket boundary positions (e.g., $420-$425) are especially risky if feeds diverge.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 12 bracket markets ($395-$440 range) plus 2 unbounded markets (<$395, >$440) based on Yahoo Finance historical close price for June 12, 2026. If value falls exactly between brackets, resolves to higher bracket. Uses last valid on-exchange trade price if no official close. Adjusts for stock splits using Yahoo Finance split-adjusted data.
  • Limitless: Resolves single directional market (Up/Down) by comparing Pyth TSLA/USD 1-minute candle close on June 12, 2026 against June 5, 2026 baseline of $390.88674. Resolves 'Up' only if June 12 close is strictly higher. Falls back to official exchange closing price if Pyth data unavailable. Adjusts for stock splits using Pyth split-adjusted prices.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Tesla (Pyth TSLA/USD) on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Tesla (Pyth TSLA/USD) on June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Tesla (Pyth TSLA/USD) captured on June 5, 2026, was $390.88674. Resolution source: Pyth TSLA/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Tesla (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which TSLA is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting TSLA during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

Key catalysts include Tesla earnings announcements, production or delivery reports, CEO commentary on demand or margins, and macroeconomic data affecting growth stocks and EV sentiment. Broader market moves in tech indices, interest rate expectations, and competitive pressures from legacy automakers or EV startups can shift TSLA intraweek volatility. Geopolitical developments, regulatory changes affecting EV subsidies or tariffs, and supply-chain updates may also trigger repricing ahead of the June 12 close, causing prediction market odds to shift materially.