TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders and often diverge from consensus analyst price targets. While Wall Street forecasts rely on fundamental models and earnings revisions, this market aggregates live expectations from participants who have direct financial incentive to be accurate. Comparing the implied probabilities here to published analyst consensus can reveal where the market is pricing in more or less optimism than the Street. Such gaps sometimes signal emerging conviction about near-term catalysts or valuation shifts.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the final closing price for Tesla during the specified week is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket TSLA settles into on the last trading day of that week. No further trading occurs after the market closes, and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome based on their share count.
Earnings announcements, product launches, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic shifts—particularly interest rate moves or tech sector rotation—can all influence Tesla's stock price and reshape trader expectations. Unexpected news about competition, supply chain disruptions, or CEO commentary may trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, broad market volatility or changes in investor risk appetite can swing sentiment around growth stocks. Monitoring financial news and Tesla-specific catalogs in the days leading up to resolution helps traders stay ahead of probability shifts.