TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for Tesla's week-of-June-1 close reflect aggregated trader expectations and differ from traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street analysts typically issue point estimates or narrow ranges based on fundamental models, prediction markets price a full distribution of outcomes weighted by trader conviction. Market odds tend to incorporate forward-looking sentiment faster than consensus forecasts and can diverge significantly when major catalysts or earnings surprises emerge. Comparing the highest-probability outcome on Polymarket to median analyst targets reveals whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than the Street consensus.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Tesla's week-of-June-1 closing price on Polymarket is priced using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares of discrete price-range outcomes. Each outcome represents a specific closing price band, and the cost to purchase a share reflects the current implied probability. As traders buy or sell shares, the price of each outcome adjusts dynamically. Liquidity and trading volume across outcomes determine bid-ask spreads and slippage. The market remains open until Jun 5, 2026, allowing continuous price discovery as new information about Tesla's fundamentals, sector trends, and macro conditions emerges.
The Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 1 at ___ market resolves on Jun 5, 2026 after the close of trading on Friday, June 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by Tesla's official closing price on that date as reported by major financial data providers. The outcome category into which the closing price falls determines which shares pay out at full value. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while shares in non-winning outcomes expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and occurs shortly after market close once official pricing data is confirmed.
Several catalysts could shift Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 1 at ___ odds before Jun 5, 2026. Quarterly earnings announcements, production or delivery reports, and management guidance directly impact stock valuation. Macroeconomic data—interest rate decisions, inflation reports, and consumer spending trends—influence the broader auto and EV sectors. Regulatory developments, including EV tax credits or safety investigations, carry material risk. Competitive announcements from legacy automakers or EV startups can reshape investor sentiment. Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions, and commodity price swings affect Tesla's cost structure. Social media activity and CEO statements may trigger short-term volatility. Technical chart patterns and options expiration dates also influence intraweek price action.