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Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jul 20 at ___?
polymarket

What will Tesla (TSLA) close at on July 24?

Volume:
$4,236

<$355

 - Polymarket

<$355 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 4:44 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<$355

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>$400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355-$360

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$360-$365

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$365-$370

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$370-$375

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$375-$380

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$380-$385

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$390-$395

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$395-$400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$385-$390

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The Tesla weekly closing price market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for where TSLA will close during the week of July 20. Traders buy and sell shares that pay out based on which price range the stock settles into, with the dashboard displaying current probabilities for each outcome bracket. You can monitor volume of $4,236 across all price tiers, view 24-hour volume of $1,326, and watch how odds shift as new information emerges. This live feed lets you compare your own forecast against the collective prediction of active traders on the platform.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately, often diverging meaningfully from consensus analyst price targets. While Wall Street research teams publish earnings-driven estimates and technical outlooks, this market aggregates dispersed trader conviction into a single probability distribution. Analysts may anchor to longer-term valuations or sector trends, whereas traders here focus on the specific weekly close outcome. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in event risk, sentiment shifts, or macro moves that traditional research has not yet fully reflected.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability quotes for each price bracket. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome share trades independently, so the odds you see reflect the marginal cost of buying or selling one more share in that range. As traders accumulate positions ahead of the weekly close, the pricing curve adjusts to balance supply and demand, ensuring the market remains responsive to new information and shifting sentiment.

This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the weekly close for TSLA is finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price bracket the stock settles into at market close on the specified date. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the closing price is confirmed, with no manual intervention required.

Earnings announcements, product launches, regulatory filings, or major macroeconomic data releases can trigger sharp repricing in this market. Shifts in broader equity sentiment, sector rotation, or changes to interest rate expectations also influence where traders expect TSLA to land. Insider transactions, analyst downgrades or upgrades, and competitive announcements from legacy automakers or EV rivals may shift conviction. Real-time news flow, options expiry dynamics, and technical chart levels near key support or resistance can accelerate volatility and move odds significantly in the final days before the weekly close.