TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Tencent's performance in the AI model author market share for a specific week. It evaluates whether Tencent achieves various threshold percentages in market share during that period. The resolution depends on publicly available data reported at a set time.
If Tencent scores above 2.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Tencent scores above 3.0% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Tencent scores above 3.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Tencent scores above 4.0% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Tencent scores above 4.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, odds for this market reflect collective trader expectations, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Where analysts may publish detailed reports based on historical data and projections, market odds incorporate real-time sentiment, news flow, and speculative positioning. Comparing the two offers a view of whether the crowd leans more optimistic or pessimistic than established research houses.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers agree on the probability of each outcome. The current top outcome reflects the highest bid price, and market depth shows how much volume is available at each price level, with total volume standing at $39,813.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the most reliable and widely accepted data sources available at that time, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 24, 2026. Major news releases—such as quarterly earnings reports, regulatory announcements, or strategic partnerships—will directly affect trader sentiment. Broader tech-sector trends, macroeconomic data, and even geopolitical developments may also influence pricing. Any unexpected development that alters expectations for Tencent’s performance this week can cause rapid shifts in odds.