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Temporary-help employment in August
kalshi

What will the temporary-help employment figures show in August?

Volume:
$2,092

Above 2.500 million

 - Kalshi

Above 2.500 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 9:29 AM EST

kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.500 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.490 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.510 million

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$61
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.480 million

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2.520 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$816
N/A
N/A
$811
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.530 million

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
$369
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks temporary-help employment figures for August 2026, reflecting fluctuations in staffing agencies' hiring activity during that month. The outcome depends on whether the reported employment numbers exceed specific thresholds. These metrics are commonly used to gauge economic health and labor market trends.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the first published, seasonally adjusted value for All Employees in Temporary Help Services for August 2026, as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series TEMPHELPS. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from above 2.480 million to above 2.530 million. If the reported figure exceeds the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Revisions to previously published values are disregarded, ensuring that only the initial release influences the outcome. All markets share the same underlying data source and revision policy, with resolution contingent solely on whether the August 2026 value surpasses their individual benchmarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the August temporary-help employment market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,779. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for temporary-help employment in August, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity for this specific economic indicator.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for temporary-help employment in August. While analysts may incorporate a range of economic indicators and historical trends, traders adjust prices based on recent data, news, and sentiment, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on the week.

This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on official government data releases for temporary-help employment in August, providing a clear and objective basis for settlement.

Key signals that could shift this market include upcoming employment reports, economic indicators such as manufacturing and service sector expansions, Federal Reserve policy announcements, and geopolitical developments affecting labor markets. Any data surprising consensus estimates or major news impacting hiring trends can cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.