TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Ted Cruz # posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
polymarket

Ted Cruz # posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?

Volume:
$8,200

120-139

 - Polymarket

120-139 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 7:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

120-139

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ted Cruz social media market tracks the implied probability of different outcomes for the number of posts Senator Cruz makes on social media between September 8th and September 15th, 2026. You'll find the current odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $1,513. Total volume for this market is $8,200. This allows traders to see how confidence in each outcome is evolving and how actively the market is being traded.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling data, as polls focusing on the posting habits of politicians are rare. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information than polls, including news events, social media sentiment, and expert opinions. This can lead to differences between the implied probabilities in this market and any available polling averages regarding Senator Cruz’s public activity. It's important to remember that this market reflects what traders believe will happen, not necessarily what people currently think is likely.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by Senator Ted Cruz on his official social media accounts between September 8th and September 15th, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of posts will be tallied from publicly accessible sources, and the outcome corresponding to the correct range of posts will be determined. The market will then settle based on this verified count, reflecting the actual activity during that period.

Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Major news events related to Senator Cruz, such as significant legislative actions or public controversies, could shift expectations about his social media engagement. Changes in his communication strategy or the emergence of new social media platforms could also play a role. Unexpected political developments or shifts in public opinion regarding Senator Cruz are other potential catalysts that could impact this market before it resolves on Sep 15, 2026.