TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 2:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
It's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional polling averages for this type of event, as polls don't typically forecast social media posting frequency. However, if analysts were to attempt such a forecast, this market provides an alternative view based on collective wisdom. Currently, the implied probability of Senator Cruz posting a certain number of times reflects the aggregated beliefs of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than expert opinions. This market represents a forward-looking assessment, while polls capture past or present sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of posts made by Senator Ted Cruz on his official X (formerly Twitter) account between September 11 and September 18, 2026. The final count will be determined by an independent verification of his publicly available posting history during that timeframe, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Major political events occurring in 2026, particularly those involving Senator Cruz, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Changes to Senator Cruz’s social media strategy or a major announcement regarding his future plans could also impact the market. Additionally, any news related to X (formerly Twitter) itself, such as changes to its algorithms or policies, might indirectly affect the perceived likelihood of different posting frequencies. Unexpected disruptions or significant media coverage could also play a role in how this market evolves.