TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
Ted Cruz # posts September 11 - September 18, 2026?
polymarket

Ted Cruz # posts September 11 - September 18, 2026?

Volume:
$8,418

80-99

 - Polymarket

80-99 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 2:05 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

80-99

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

100-119

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Ted Cruz social media market tracks the implied probability of different outcomes for the number of posts Senator Cruz will make between September 11 and September 18, 2026. You can view the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume directly on the page. Currently, the total volume for this market is $8,418, with $2,648 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on Senator Cruz’s social media activity during that week.

It's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional polling averages for this type of event, as polls don't typically forecast social media posting frequency. However, if analysts were to attempt such a forecast, this market provides an alternative view based on collective wisdom. Currently, the implied probability of Senator Cruz posting a certain number of times reflects the aggregated beliefs of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than expert opinions. This market represents a forward-looking assessment, while polls capture past or present sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of posts made by Senator Ted Cruz on his official X (formerly Twitter) account between September 11 and September 18, 2026. The final count will be determined by an independent verification of his publicly available posting history during that timeframe, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Major political events occurring in 2026, particularly those involving Senator Cruz, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Changes to Senator Cruz’s social media strategy or a major announcement regarding his future plans could also impact the market. Additionally, any news related to X (formerly Twitter) itself, such as changes to its algorithms or policies, might indirectly affect the perceived likelihood of different posting frequencies. Unexpected disruptions or significant media coverage could also play a role in how this market evolves.