TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Ted Cruz # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?
polymarket

Ted Cruz # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Volume:
$22,305

80-99

 - Polymarket

80-99 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

80-99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$985
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations and differ fundamentally from polling averages, which measure voter sentiment or approval rather than behavioral forecasts. Unlike polls, prediction markets price in direct financial incentives for accuracy; traders betting on Ted Cruz's post volume must commit capital to their forecast. While polls capture public opinion snapshots, market odds synthesize dispersed information from participants with skin in the game, often producing more granular outcome probabilities for specific, measurable events like weekly social media activity.

The market resolves on Jun 16, 2026, after the June 9–16 observation window closes. Resolution hinges on an objective count of Ted Cruz's posts across his primary social media accounts during that exact seven-day period. The winning outcome is determined by comparing the final verified post count to the predefined brackets offered in the market. Once the count is confirmed and matched to the correct outcome bucket, that contract settles to $1 and all others to $0, distributing winnings to holders of the correct prediction.

Several catalysts could shift odds before June 16. Major legislative votes, Senate floor activity, or high-profile political controversies may prompt Cruz to increase or decrease posting frequency. Campaign announcements, media appearances, or personal statements could drive social media engagement upward. Conversely, extended travel, committee work, or strategic communication pauses might suppress post volume. Historical patterns of his weekly posting behavior, seasonal congressional schedules, and real-time news cycles all influence trader expectations. As the observation window approaches, actual early-week post counts will provide concrete data, sharpening market pricing around the final outcome.