TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 2:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual number of posts Ted Cruz publishes from July 31 to August 7, 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The count will be compared against the defined ranges to determine which bucket — from zero to over 80 posts — matches reality, settling all positions accordingly.
Key signals include any announced social media schedules, major political events or controversies involving Ted Cruz that might increase or decrease his posting frequency, platform algorithm changes affecting visibility, and unexpected personal circumstances. News cycles covering his activities, as well as periodic updates on his online engagement, could cause traders to adjust their expectations and shift this market's probabilities substantially before Aug 7, 2026.