TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 2:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of posts Ted Cruz publishes on his official accounts between August 14 and August 21, 2026, will determine which range — and therefore which market position — is correct.
News cycles covering Ted Cruz’s campaign events, media appearances, or controversies could drive shifts in this market. Scheduled speeches, interviews, or announced travel might increase expected posting frequency, while controversies or health-related pauses could lower it. Any surge in social media engagement or official announcements from his team may also impact trader sentiment and pricing.