TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Target Monthly Foot Traffic in August
kalshi

Target Monthly Foot Traffic in August

Volume:
$7,534

Above 91

 - Kalshi

Above 91 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 91

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,953
N/A
N/A
$438
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 88

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 89

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 94

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,830
N/A
N/A
$883
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 95

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$939
N/A
N/A
$349
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 97

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$688
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 93

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$598
N/A
N/A
$263
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 92

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The event tracks Target's monthly foot traffic in August 2026 using a year-over-year index compiled by Carbon Arc. The index reflects changes in the number of store visits compared to the same month in the previous year, with values above 100 indicating growth and below 100 indicating decline. The data is gathered from mobile location information and adjusted for seasonal patterns, weather, and holidays.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are resolved based on the Carbon Arc Target Monthly Foot Traffic index for August 2026. Each market has a specific threshold, ranging from above 88 to above 100, which determines a 'Yes' outcome if the reported index value exceeds that threshold. The resolution is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after the market settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily, providing a real-time reflection of foot traffic trends. All markets share the same underlying data source and adjustment methodology, ensuring consistency across thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more nuanced or real-time view of expectations. While analysts may provide a single estimate or range, traders in this market continuously adjust positions based on emerging data, news, and sentiment — leading to subtle differences that can signal shifts in market confidence before formal reports are released.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative data sources that provide a clear, objective count or measurement — ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants.

Key signals that could shift this market include early indicators of seasonal trends, major announcements from relevant organizations, changes in consumer behavior tracked by real-time analytics, and any unexpected disruptions that affect foot traffic. Traders will watch these developments closely, as each new data point can prompt rapid reassessments of likely outcomes.