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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily
limitless

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

Volume:
$142,825

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

 - Limitless

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily - Limitless

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Resolved Jun 22, 2026

Closed: Jun 22, 4:00 PM EST

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-50¢
N/A
$142,825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) on June 22, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) captured on June 18, 2026, was $462.35448. Resolution source: Pyth TSM/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which TSM is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting TSM during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) on June 22, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) captured on June 18, 2026, was $462.35448. Resolution source: Pyth TSM/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which TSM is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting TSM during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst price targets because they reflect real-money consensus rather than fundamental research alone. While equity analysts publish quarterly earnings estimates and 12-month price targets, this market captures day-to-day sentiment and technical momentum. Traders betting on daily moves may react faster to earnings surprises, geopolitical events, or semiconductor industry news than consensus forecasts update. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in near-term optimism or caution that formal research has not yet fully reflected.

On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the platform's algorithm ensures continuous pricing. The spread between bid and ask reflects the depth of liquidity available; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and trading activity, while wider spreads suggest lower participation. Real-time price discovery means odds shift instantly as new information or sentiment emerges during the trading day.

This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether TSM's closing price on the specified date is higher or lower than the previous trading day's close. Official stock exchange data and financial news sources serve as the basis for final determination. Traders should monitor earnings announcements, macroeconomic releases, and semiconductor sector developments in the days leading up to resolution, as these typically drive the largest intraday moves.

Key catalysts include Taiwan's geopolitical developments, U.S.–China trade policy shifts, and semiconductor supply-chain news that directly affect TSM's business outlook. Earnings surprises, guidance revisions, and major customer announcements can trigger sharp daily swings. Broader market events—such as Federal Reserve policy decisions, tech sector rotation, or macroeconomic data—also influence semiconductor stocks. Chip demand cycles, competitive pressures from rivals, and any regulatory changes affecting Taiwan's export status are worth monitoring. Real-time news flow and options market activity often signal imminent moves before they appear in stock price action.