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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily
limitless

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

Volume:
$114,358

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

 - Limitless

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily - Limitless

1W

News

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Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

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24h
7d
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limitless

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$114,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) on June 8, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) captured on June 5, 2026, was $415.11155. Resolution source: Pyth TSM/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 8, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which TSM is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting TSM during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect real-money bets from traders and differ from traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on earnings models and sector research. While sell-side analysts typically issue quarterly or annual price targets, the TSM daily prediction market captures intraday sentiment and short-term momentum signals. Analyst consensus may emphasize long-term fundamentals like chip demand and geopolitical risk, whereas prediction markets react quickly to earnings surprises, Fed announcements, and breaking news. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in near-term catalysts that analysts have overlooked or whether market odds align with expert opinion on TSM's direction.

The Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily market resolves on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether TSM's closing price on that date is higher or lower than its opening price for the trading day. The outcome is objective and verifiable using official exchange data, ensuring fair settlement for all traders. Markets typically close at 4:00 PM ET for US-listed stocks, though TSM trades on the NYSE and may have extended hours activity. Once the closing price is finalized and confirmed, the winning outcome is paid out and the market settles.

Several catalysts could shift TSM odds before resolution. Earnings announcements, guidance revisions, or production updates from TSMC directly impact semiconductor demand expectations. Geopolitical developments involving Taiwan, US-China trade policy, or export controls on chip technology create volatility. Broader market moves—Fed rate decisions, tech sector rotation, or macroeconomic data—influence semiconductor stocks. Competitor news from Intel, Samsung, or ASML affects TSM's competitive positioning. Intraday technical levels, options expiration activity, and index rebalancing can trigger short-term price swings. Real-time news flow, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and shifts in institutional positioning all contribute to daily directional moves that traders price into the market.