TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily
limitless

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

Volume:
$1,259

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

 - Limitless

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 4:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.7¢
N/A
$1,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) on June 1, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Taiwan Semiconductor (Pyth TSM/USD) captured on May 29, 2026, was $419.05553. Resolution source: Pyth TSM/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which TSM is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting TSM during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on TSM's daily direction, whereas analyst forecasts typically focus on longer-term price targets and earnings outlooks. Analysts may issue quarterly or annual guidance, while this daily market captures intraday and overnight sentiment shifts. Prediction markets often react faster to breaking news—earnings surprises, geopolitical events, or supply-chain updates—whereas analyst reports update less frequently. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than professional equity researchers on TSM's near-term trajectory.

The Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Up or Down - Daily market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing TSM's closing price on the resolution date to its previous trading day's close. If the stock closes higher, the Up outcome wins; if it closes lower, the Down outcome wins. The market captures a single day's directional move, making it ideal for traders focused on short-term momentum and daily volatility. Each day's market is independent, allowing continuous trading across multiple daily events.

Taiwan Semiconductor's daily price can shift on earnings announcements, product roadmap updates, geopolitical developments affecting Taiwan, U.S.–China trade policy changes, and semiconductor industry supply-demand data. Macroeconomic releases—inflation reports, interest-rate decisions, or tech sector rotation—often trigger broad chip-stock moves. Competitor news from Samsung or Intel, customer guidance from Apple or other major clients, and Taiwan political developments also influence sentiment. Intraday catalysts like analyst upgrades, insider transactions, or short-squeeze activity can create sharp daily swings. Real-time monitoring of financial news and tech headlines helps traders anticipate directional pressure.