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Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
kalshi

Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)

Volume:
$36,349

Green Party

 - Kalshi

Green Party - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 11:10 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Green Party

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,305
N/A
N/A
$2,359
2mo 2w 5d
Yes
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Swedish Social Democratic Party

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,034
N/A
N/A
$3,751
2mo 2w 5d
No
kalshi

Christian Democrats

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,631
N/A
N/A
$2,962
2mo 2w 5d
No
kalshi

Sweden Democrats

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,215
N/A
N/A
$1,205
2mo 2w 5d
No
kalshi

Moderate Party

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,190
N/A
N/A
$2,080
2mo 2w 5d
No
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Liberals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,320
N/A
N/A
$3,203
2mo 2w 5d
No
kalshi

Left Party

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,252
N/A
N/A
$1,996
2mo 2w 5d
No
kalshi

Centre Party

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,402
N/A
N/A
$2,002
2mo 2w 5d
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the final vote distribution in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election, focusing specifically on which political party secures the seventh-largest share of valid votes nationwide. The outcome depends solely on the official certification by the Swedish Election Authority, ignoring interim estimates or regional variations.

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All markets resolve to Yes only if a specific named party uniquely holds the seventh-highest number of valid votes in the final certified national results. Ranking is determined exclusively by total valid votes nationwide, without rounding, and disregards seat allocations, regional breakdowns, or preliminary counts. A market resolves No if the named party is not alone in seventh place—either because another party matches its vote count, because a different party occupies seventh place, or because no sole seventh-place exists. Every market shares this core structure, differing only in the party being assessed.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Sweden Riksdag 7th place race dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Sweden Riksdag 7th place race. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of each party finishing in seventh place in the upcoming election, updated continuously as new bets are placed. The dashboard reflects a volume of $36,349 and 24-hour volume of $2, giving users insight into market activity and sentiment.

On Kalshi, the current odds for the Sweden Riksdag 7th place race reflect trader expectations shaped by recent polling trends and party momentum. Analysts often publish their own forecasts based on similar data but may weight historical performance or demographic shifts differently. This market’s implied probabilities can diverge from those forecasts when real-time betting activity reacts faster to breaking news or polling snapshots, sometimes creating notable gaps between the two sets of predictions.

This market resolves around Dec 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Sweden Riksdag election results are verified against credible public sources. The final vote-share rankings will determine which party or independent candidate secures the seventh place, settling all positions based on the certified tally from the electoral authority.