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Sweden rate decision in September
🌟New
kalshi

What will Sweden's rate decision be?

Sep 8, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Sep 24, 2026, 3:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$17,115
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$12,615
0%

Maintain current rate

 - Kalshi

Maintain current rate - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 24, 2026

Time left: 13d:22h:25m

Will the Sveriges Riksbank maintain current rate at the September monetary policy meeting?

78%chance
Amount

$

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kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 78% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% APY not meaningful 13 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Maintain current rate

Trade
78%
Yes 78¢No 24¢
2¢
N/A
$515
0%
N/A
$515
1w 6d 22h
active
kalshi

Cut 1-25bps

Trade
4%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$3,100
0%
N/A
$3,100
1w 6d 22h
active
kalshi

Hike more than 25bps

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$4,600
0%
N/A
$4,000
1w 6d 22h
active
kalshi

Cut more than 25bps

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$8,900
0%
N/A
$5,000
1w 6d 22h
active
kalshi

Hike 1-25bps

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 6d 22h
active
Total markets: 5

Description

Sweden's central bank will disclose its interest rate choice following a scheduled meeting. The outcome depends on whether the bank reduces rates by more than 25 basis points, reduces by 1-25 basis points, keeps the rate unchanged, increases by 1-25 basis points, or raises rates by more than 25 basis points.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the Sveriges Riksbank at its September monetary policy meeting. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, the "Maintain current rate" market resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. Each market resolves to Yes only if the central bank takes the specific action described in the primary rule (cut more than 25bps, cut 1-25bps, maintain current rate, hike 1-25bps, or hike more than 25bps).

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Swedish interest rate market tracks the current odds of various outcomes regarding the upcoming rate decision. You’ll find the implied probabilities for each potential rate change, along with a price history showing how those probabilities have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $17,115, and the total volume traded to date, which is $17,115. This provides a clear overview of how traders are positioning themselves ahead of the announcement.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts. While a consensus among analysts anticipates a modest rate hike, this market suggests a broader range of possibilities are being considered by traders. It’s important to note that analyst forecasts are often based on economic models and public statements, whereas this market incorporates a wider array of information, including sentiment and potentially non-public data. Discrepancies between the two can offer valuable insights into market expectations.

This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official announcement made by the Swedish Riksbank regarding its interest rate decision. The final price of contracts in this market will reflect whether the actual rate change matches the outcome predicted by the contract holders. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final market prices and their positions.

Several key signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected economic data releases from Sweden, such as inflation or employment figures, would likely cause price fluctuations. Statements from members of the Swedish Riksbank regarding their monetary policy outlook are also crucial catalysts. Geopolitical events and broader global economic trends could also influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices in this market. Any surprises in these areas could lead to substantial shifts in the perceived probabilities of different outcomes.