Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? Odds & Prediction Markets

Name: Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?
Start: 2026-08-13T09:38:36.000Z
End: 2026-09-13T00:00:00.000Z

Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Left Party (V) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Left Party (V) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Left Party (V) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Left Party (V) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for the Sweden V party vote market, alongside 24-hour volume of $30. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of the V party securing more or less than 7% of the vote in the upcoming parliamentary election.

On Polymarket, this market currently reflects a strong lean toward the over outcome, with implied probabilities differing noticeably from recent polling averages. While surveys show varied support levels, trader sentiment on Polymarket suggests higher confidence in a larger share for the V party. Such gaps can arise when market participants weigh additional factors like recent momentum, campaign dynamics, or economic signals beyond raw poll numbers. Monitoring both the market and fresh polling data helps spot where trader expectations diverge from public opinion snapshots.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. Official vote tallies will determine whether the V party’s share exceeds or falls short of the seven-percent threshold, settling all contracts accordingly. Timing aligns with Sweden’s standard parliamentary election schedule, ensuring a clear and timely resolution based on authoritative sources.

Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?

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