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Sweden Parliamentary Election: Turnout
polymarket

What will Sweden's election turnout be?

Volume:
$41,559

84-86%

 - Polymarket

84-86% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 2:52 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

84-86%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

<82%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82-84%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86-88%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,929
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

88%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a different expectation than many traditional polls regarding Swedish election turnout. While some polls indicate a potential for lower turnout due to voter apathy, this market reflects a belief that turnout will likely be higher. It's important to remember that polls capture a snapshot in time and are subject to methodological limitations, while this market represents a continuous assessment of probabilities based on informed traders’ willingness to put capital at risk. The difference between these forecasts could narrow as the election approaches and more data becomes available.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official voter turnout percentage is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results will be released by the Swedish Election Authority following the parliamentary election. This market will settle based on the verified percentage of eligible voters who cast a ballot in the election, as determined by the official source. The resolution will be based on the officially reported turnout figure, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 13, 2026. Major political events, such as unexpected scandals involving key parties or significant policy announcements, could shift voter sentiment and impact turnout expectations. Changes in the economic climate, including unexpected economic downturns or improvements, could also play a role. Additionally, any news related to voter registration drives, changes to voting regulations, or prominent campaigns focused on increasing voter participation could move this market. Finally, major geopolitical events could also indirectly affect voter engagement and, consequently, the market.