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Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
polymarket

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Volume:
$222,007

Sweden Democrats (SD)

 - Polymarket

Sweden Democrats (SD) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 4:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sweden Democrats (SD)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66,362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Moderate Party (M)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Left Party (V)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Centre Party (C)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Green Party (MP)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Liberals (L)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian Democrats (KD)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party T

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party X

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party S

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party Z

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Frequently asked questions

The Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for which party will secure the third-largest seat count in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election. The dashboard displays live probability estimates, historical price movements, and current market depth. It also shows aggregate liquidity metrics including total group volume of $222,007 and 24-hour trading volume of $10, helping traders understand market interest and depth for this specific outcome.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective assessment of third-place likelihood, often incorporating polling data alongside campaign momentum, coalition dynamics, and recent political developments. While traditional polls measure voter intent at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate forward-looking expectations and real-money incentives. Divergences between market odds and polls typically signal traders' confidence in polling accuracy or their expectation of significant shifts before the Sep 13, 2026 election date.

The Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place market resolves on Sep 13, 2026, following Sweden's parliamentary election. Resolution is determined by the official seat count announced by Swedish electoral authorities, which identifies which party achieves the third-highest number of seats in the Riksdag. The market will settle based on verified final results, with no ambiguity regarding the ranking of seat totals among competing parties.

Key catalysts for market movement include published polling updates showing shifts in third-place contenders' support, major campaign announcements or leadership changes, coalition negotiations signaling strategic alliances, economic data affecting voter sentiment, and media coverage of party performance. Scandals, policy announcements, or debate performances can rapidly alter trader expectations about which party finishes third. As election day approaches, late-breaking news and final pre-election surveys typically drive the most significant price adjustments.