TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks what Sunshine Silver's market capitalization will be at the closing price on its first day of trading, calculated from outstanding shares multiplied by the official closing share price. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—a market cap between $2.75B and $3B—stands at 23.5%, while a market cap between $2.25B and $2.5B is at 22.5%. Resolution will be determined by official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. Watch for the scheduled IPO on June 4, 2026 (ET), as this date will trigger market resolution based on Sunshine Silver's closing valuation.
The Sunshine Silver IPO Closing Market Cap market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by Sunshine Silver's official closing market capitalization on its IPO day, calculated from the final share price and fully diluted share count at market close. The outcome bracket that contains the actual closing market cap will be marked correct, and all positions in that bracket will be paid out at full value while other brackets expire worthless. Traders should monitor official IPO filings and final pricing announcements for confirmation.
Key catalysts for Sunshine Silver's IPO closing valuation include the final prospectus filing, which reveals business metrics and risk factors; any price range adjustments announced by underwriters; broader precious metals and mining sector sentiment; macroeconomic conditions affecting commodity demand; and last-minute investor demand signals during the roadshow period. Silver spot prices, competitor IPO performance, and geopolitical developments affecting mining operations could also influence trader expectations. As IPO day approaches, final pricing guidance and opening-day trading momentum will likely drive significant odds shifts on Polymarket.