TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sunshine Silver IPO Closing Market Cap
polymarket

Sunshine Silver IPO Closing Market Cap

Volume:
$30,026

$2.25B–$2.5B

 - Polymarket

$2.25B–$2.5B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$2.25B–$2.5B

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$2B–$2.25B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2.75B–$3B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$3B+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2.5B–$2.75B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,098
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$2B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No IPO before August 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks what Sunshine Silver's market capitalization will be at the closing price on its first day of trading, calculated from outstanding shares multiplied by the official closing share price. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—a market cap between $2.75B and $3B—stands at 23.5%, while a market cap between $2.25B and $2.5B is at 22.5%. Resolution will be determined by official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. Watch for the scheduled IPO on June 4, 2026 (ET), as this date will trigger market resolution based on Sunshine Silver's closing valuation.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders actively positioning on Sunshine Silver's IPO closing valuation. These odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets incorporate live information, sentiment, and forward-looking expectations as the IPO approaches. While equity research teams may publish target valuations based on comparable companies and financial models, prediction markets aggregate distributed knowledge from many participants trading with their own capital, potentially offering a dynamic alternative view of likely outcomes versus static analyst estimates.

The Sunshine Silver IPO Closing Market Cap market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by Sunshine Silver's official closing market capitalization on its IPO day, calculated from the final share price and fully diluted share count at market close. The outcome bracket that contains the actual closing market cap will be marked correct, and all positions in that bracket will be paid out at full value while other brackets expire worthless. Traders should monitor official IPO filings and final pricing announcements for confirmation.

Key catalysts for Sunshine Silver's IPO closing valuation include the final prospectus filing, which reveals business metrics and risk factors; any price range adjustments announced by underwriters; broader precious metals and mining sector sentiment; macroeconomic conditions affecting commodity demand; and last-minute investor demand signals during the roadshow period. Silver spot prices, competitor IPO performance, and geopolitical developments affecting mining operations could also influence trader expectations. As IPO day approaches, final pricing guidance and opening-day trading momentum will likely drive significant odds shifts on Polymarket.