TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)
kalshi

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)

Volume:
$63,052

At least 30

 - Kalshi

At least 30 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 8:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,064
N/A
N/A
$11,330
2mo 1d
No
kalshi

At least 40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,796
N/A
N/A
$8,021
2mo 1d
No
kalshi

At least 50

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,159
N/A
N/A
$6,199
2mo 1d
No
kalshi

At least 100

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,750
N/A
N/A
$1,099
2mo 1d
No
kalshi

At least 60

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,605
N/A
N/A
$1,314
2mo 1d
No
kalshi

At least 80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
$300
2mo 1d
No
kalshi

At least 70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
$201
2mo 1d
No
kalshi

At least 90

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$98
2mo 1d
No
Total markets: 8

Description

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical maritime passage influencing global oil shipments and regional geopolitics. Tracking daily vessel transit volumes offers insight into economic activity and potential disruptions. August 2026 presents a specific timeframe to observe whether traffic reaches historically significant thresholds.

Kalshi

This event evaluates whether daily vessel transit counts through the Strait of Hormuz, as officially reported by the IMF PortWatch, achieve specified volume thresholds during August 2026. Multiple markets correspond to ascending numerical benchmarks — ranging from 30 to 100 transit calls per day — with each market resolving to 'Yes' if the highest single-day count meets or exceeds its respective threshold. The collective structure allows participants to assess varying levels of traffic intensity against a unified data source, reflecting both normal operational patterns and any unusual surges or constraints that may occur within the month.