TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
State of the Union # of viewers?
polymarket

State of the Union # of viewers?

Volume:
$44,135

<35M

 - Polymarket

<35M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 23, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<35M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

45M+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

43M - 45M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35M - 37M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37M - 39M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41M - 43M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39M - 41M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 State of the Union address as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the 2026 State of the Union address may also be used. If the 2026 State of the Union address takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the address within 10 calendar days, another credible resolution for the 2026 State of the Union viewership source may be chosen.