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400,720

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2,633

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5

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Starbucks total stores in Q3
kalshi

Starbucks total stores in Q3

Volume:
$30,202

Above 41300

 - Kalshi

Above 41300 - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 4:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 41300

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,707
N/A
N/A
$5,414
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 41200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,883
N/A
N/A
$2,955
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 41250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 41400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,172
N/A
N/A
$2,279
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 41500

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,929
N/A
N/A
$2,203
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 41350

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,008
N/A
N/A
$914
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Starbucks Corporation will report more than 41,200 total global stores across all company-operated and licensed locations in Q3 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of exceeding this threshold stands at 85.0%, based on resolution criteria requiring the company to report above 41,500 stores. The resolution source is Starbucks Corporation's official Q3 2026 earnings report. Watch for Starbucks' earnings announcement on or around August 27, 2026, when the company discloses its store count and settlement occurs.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Starbucks Corporation's reported total global store count in Q3 2026. The event contains four tiered outcomes at progressively higher store count thresholds: above 41,200 stores, above 41,300 stores, above 41,400 stores, and above 41,500 stores. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome. Resolution depends on the company's official financial reporting for the specified quarter, with each outcome resolving Yes if the reported figure exceeds its corresponding threshold.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Aug 27, 2026, coinciding with Starbucks' Q3 2026 earnings release and official store-count disclosure. Resolution hinges on the company's reported total global store count in its quarterly filing or earnings call. The outcome is binary: if the reported figure exceeds 41,500 stores, the above contract resolves to 100; if it equals or falls below 41,500, the contract resolves to zero. Official company filings and investor communications serve as the authoritative source for determining which side of the threshold Starbucks lands.

Key catalysts include quarterly same-store sales reports, management commentary on expansion pace, and competitive dynamics in key markets like China and the US. Starbucks' capital allocation decisions, franchise partner performance, and real estate availability all influence store growth. Macroeconomic headwinds or tailwinds affecting consumer spending and real estate costs could accelerate or slow openings. Interim earnings calls, investor conferences, and comparable-company announcements may also shift market expectations. Any guidance revisions or strategic announcements about store count targets would likely trigger significant price movement on the prediction market.