TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Sprite point-of-sale growth for August 2026, focusing on whether sales metrics meet or exceed various thresholds relative to the previous year. The outcome depends on year-over-year changes measured by a third-party data provider, reflecting consumer purchasing trends through captured sales data. Thresholds represent different levels of decline or improvement compared to August 2025.
All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Sprite Point of Sale Growth index for August 2026, comparing it to August 2025. Each market has a specific threshold: -19%, -15%, -11%, -7%, or -3%. If the reported index value is above the respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 indicates equal sales to the prior year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Data comes from Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel, which tracks in-store and online purchases via receipt scanning and rewards apps, updated daily. The first reported value determines the outcome, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement do not affect the result. Kalshi has no official affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of market conditions. While analysts may provide detailed reports based on historical data and projections, traders in this market incorporate real-time signals and sentiment, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on recent events and market trends.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions, where participants continuously update their bids and asks based on new information and expectations. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of all active traders on the platform at any given moment, influenced by recent news, sales data, and broader market trends.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will hinge on officially reported sales figures for the relevant period, providing a clear and objective basis for settlement.