TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader positioning and differ from traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street equity research teams publish forward valuations based on financial models and comparable company analysis, prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes. Analysts may issue target prices months in advance; prediction markets update continuously as new information emerges. Comparing the two reveals whether professional consensus aligns with decentralized trader expectations for SpaceX's opening-day close.
The SpaceX IPO Closing Share Price market resolves on Jun 13, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official closing price of SpaceX shares on the first day of public trading. Outcomes are typically structured around specific price thresholds—for example, whether the close will exceed $250 or fall within a defined range. The market settles based on verified data from the primary exchange where SpaceX lists, ensuring objective and tamper-proof outcome determination.
Key catalysts include SpaceX's IPO pricing announcement, which sets the opening range and initial valuation. Regulatory developments, such as FAA licensing decisions affecting Starship or Starlink, can shift investor sentiment. Broader market conditions—equity volatility, tech sector momentum, and interest rates—influence demand for growth stocks. Elon Musk statements or company announcements about revenue, profitability, or strategic milestones may trigger repricing. Competitor news, geopolitical tensions affecting satellite or launch operations, and macroeconomic shifts all carry potential to move first-day closing expectations.