TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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S&P price range on Aug 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price range on Aug 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

7,775 to 7,799.9999

 - Kalshi

7,775 to 7,799.9999 - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,775 to 7,799.9999

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$65,806
N/A
N/A
$7,390
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,800 to 7,824.9999

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,372
N/A
N/A
$7,681
Settled
No
kalshi

7,825 to 7,849.9999

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,793
N/A
N/A
$26,394
Settled
No
kalshi

7,750 to 7,774.9999

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,804
N/A
N/A
$2,627
Settled
No
kalshi

7,725 to 7,749.9999

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,664
N/A
N/A
$3,019
Settled
No
kalshi

7,625 to 7,649.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,758
N/A
N/A
$2,553
Settled
No
kalshi

7,850 to 7,874.9999

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,441
N/A
N/A
$1,336
Settled
No
kalshi

7,650 to 7,674.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,385
N/A
N/A
$1,382
Settled
No
kalshi

7,675 to 7,699.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,182
N/A
N/A
$1,157
Settled
No
kalshi

7,700 to 7,724.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
$556
Settled
No
kalshi

7,925 to 7,949.9999

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$263
Settled
No
kalshi

7,600 to 7,624.9999

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
kalshi

7,875 to 7,899.9999

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
$189
Settled
No
kalshi

7,575 to 7,599.9999

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
No
kalshi

7,349.9999 or below

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

7,550 to 7,574.9999

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

7,900 to 7,924.9999

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
kalshi

7,475 to 7,499.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
No
kalshi

7,525 to 7,549.9999

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$71
Settled
No
kalshi

7,500 to 7,524.9999

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$61
Settled
No
kalshi

7,350 to 7,374.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

7,375 to 7,399.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

7,400 to 7,424.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

7,425 to 7,449.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

7,450 to 7,474.9999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

These markets allow participants to speculate on the performance of a major stock market index on a specific date. By investing in different outcome categories, traders can express their views on whether the index will fall within certain numerical ranges at the close of trading on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the end-of-day value of the S&P 500 index on August 14, 2026, with each market covering a specific numerical range. If the index closes within a market's defined range, that market resolves as 'Yes'; all others resolve as 'No'. Markets close on August 14, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the official data release or one week after the close. The Exchange has applied specific modifications to the source agency and underlying assets for index-related markets per the Kalshi Rulebook.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the short_topic dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $115,730. It shows how traders expect the S&P index to behave by Aug 14, 2026, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The interface provides a clear view of current expectations and recent shifts in trader confidence, helping users monitor volatility and potential turning points in the broader market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, crowd-sourced outlook shaped by trader activity. While analysts may publish target levels or ranges based on models and research, this market reflects aggregated bets that can react instantly to news, earnings reports, or macroeconomic data. Discrepancies between the two can signal emerging trends or divergences in market perception versus established research views.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will compare the S&P’s closing value against the defined price bands, and the result will be finalized based on widely accepted sources. Timing aligns with the specified market close, ensuring a clear and objective resolution process.

Key signals include major economic reports such as inflation data, Federal Reserve policy decisions, and quarterly earnings from large S&P constituents. Geopolitical developments, sudden shifts in investor sentiment, or unexpected market corrections can also impact pricing. As Aug 14, 2026 approaches, traders will closely watch these catalysts, with any significant surprise potentially moving this market sharply in either direction.