TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact specified moment, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.
All markets share the same resolution criteria based on the S&P 500 index value at 12pm EDT on September 8, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the index exceeds the specified value (e.g., 7549.9999, 7554.9999, etc.), it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Markets close on September 8, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after the close date. All markets are subject to modifications outlined in the Kalshi Rulebook regarding source agency and underlying adjustments for indices.