TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the predetermined moment, reflecting broader economic and market conditions expected to influence stock prices.
Multiple markets exist, each tied to the S&P 500 index value at 11am EDT on August 3, 2026, with varying threshold levels (e.g., 7,275, 7,280, up to 7,570). A market resolves to "Yes" if the index value at that exact time exceeds the respective threshold. All markets close on August 03, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially released or one week after the specified date, whichever occurs sooner. The Exchange has applied specific modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook.