TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 1:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact closing moment, reflecting broader economic and market sentiment predictions.
Multiple markets exist, each tied to a specific threshold value of the S&P 500 index at 1pm EDT on August 10, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the index value at that precise time exceeds the respective threshold (e.g., 7549.9999 or higher for the first market). All markets share identical secondary rules: they close on August 10, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially released or one week after the specified date, whichever occurs sooner. The Exchange has applied modifications to the source agency and underlying assets for index-related markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook.