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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 9?
polymarket

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 9?

Volume:
$71,909

$735

 - Polymarket

$735 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$735

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$730

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$725

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$715

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$720

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$740

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$745

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$750

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$765

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$760

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$755

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 9?

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional analyst price targets and consensus forecasts for SPY. While equity analysts publish point estimates and ranges based on fundamental models, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders with varying time horizons and information sets. This crowd-sourced approach can reveal market expectations that differ from published analyst views, particularly around tail risks or near-term volatility. Comparing the two reveals gaps between institutional research and decentralized market sentiment.

This market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, following the close of regular trading on June 9, 2026. The outcome is determined by the official closing price of SPY on that date. Once the market settles, winning positions are credited and losing positions expire worthless. Traders should monitor for any market halts, corporate actions, or extraordinary events that could affect the final closing price on resolution day.

Key drivers of SPY price action through June 9 include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, corporate earnings reports, and geopolitical developments. Macroeconomic surprises—such as employment figures or GDP revisions—can shift market expectations and trigger sharp moves in equity indices. Sector-specific catalysts, credit market stress, or changes in interest-rate expectations also influence broad-market sentiment. Traders should monitor economic calendars, central bank communications, and earnings seasons to anticipate volatility that could push SPY toward or away from the specified threshold.