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Southwest Airlines Credit Card Spend in August
kalshi

What is the Southwest Airlines Credit Card Spend in August?

Volume:
$7,124

Above 107

 - Kalshi

Above 107 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 11:03 AM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 107

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,567
N/A
N/A
$2,303
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 110

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,124
N/A
N/A
$1,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148
N/A
N/A
$148
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 116

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,420
N/A
N/A
$1,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 113

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$865
N/A
N/A
$865
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks projected consumer spending patterns for Southwest Airlines through credit card transactions in a specific future month. It uses an index comparing spending levels to the same month in the previous year, with different markets reflecting various growth thresholds. The outcome depends on whether reported spending exceeds set benchmarks.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Southwest Airlines Credit Card Spend index for August 2026, comparing it to August 2025. Each market has a distinct threshold (104, 107, 110, 113, or 116), and resolves to 'Yes' only if the reported index value exceeds its specific threshold. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded for settlement purposes. The index reflects year-over-year percentage changes in aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transactions tied to Southwest Airlines spending, updated daily through Carbon Arc's transaction panel. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Southwest Airlines or Carbon Arc, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or forward-looking outlook. Where analysts may rely on historical trends and macro indicators, traders in this market incorporate real-time data, sentiment shifts, and expectations about consumer behavior. The resulting odds can diverge noticeably, sometimes highlighting risks or opportunities that aren’t fully captured in conventional reports.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will match official data releases against the market’s defined categories, closing all positions based on the confirmed result.

Key signals include monthly consumer spending reports, economic indicators such as inflation or employment data, and any major announcements from Southwest itself. Shifts in travel demand, changes to credit card promotions, or broader consumer confidence trends can also influence trader sentiment and move prices in this market as new information emerges.